Pre-tourney Rankings
Florida Gulf Coast
Atlantic Sun
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating-0.7#178
Expected Predictive Rating-1.5#191
Pace70.4#101
Improvement-0.3#187

Offense
Total Offense+1.8#124
Improvement+2.2#63

Defense
Total Defense-2.5#251
Improvement-2.5#288
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2011 143   @ TCU L 72-73 29%     0 - 1 +4.1 -4.2 +8.4
  Nov 17, 2011 330   Prairie View W 68-59 92%     1 - 1 -7.4 -6.9 -0.5
  Nov 19, 2011 181   @ SMU L 64-65 38%     1 - 2 +1.5 +1.2 +0.2
  Nov 22, 2011 41   @ Miami (FL) L 50-60 11%     1 - 3 +2.8 -12.3 +14.0
  Nov 25, 2011 125   @ Maryland L 67-73 25%     1 - 4 +0.3 -10.3 +11.1
  Nov 27, 2011 135   @ Loyola Maryland L 74-77 27%     1 - 5 +2.7 +5.1 -2.4
  Dec 03, 2011 152   East Tennessee St. W 72-63 56%     2 - 5 1 - 0 +6.9 +5.1 +2.4
  Dec 07, 2011 142   @ Nebraska L 50-51 28%     2 - 6 +4.4 -11.9 +16.1
  Dec 19, 2011 147   South Carolina Upstate L 75-80 55%     2 - 7 1 - 1 -7.0 -2.0 -4.7
  Dec 22, 2011 197   Toledo W 83-80 67%     3 - 7 -2.3 +1.4 -3.8
  Dec 29, 2011 282   Maine W 84-72 82%     4 - 7 +1.6 +6.5 -5.0
  Jan 02, 2012 115   @ Mercer L 54-76 23%     4 - 8 1 - 2 -14.9 -15.0 +0.5
  Jan 04, 2012 314   @ Kennesaw St. W 62-55 76%     5 - 8 2 - 2 -1.0 -6.1 +6.4
  Jan 07, 2012 190   North Florida L 81-88 OT 66%     5 - 9 2 - 3 -12.0 -7.7 -3.3
  Jan 09, 2012 248   Jacksonville W 77-66 77%     6 - 9 3 - 3 +2.6 -5.1 +6.9
  Jan 14, 2012 216   @ Lipscomb W 84-80 OT 46%     7 - 9 4 - 3 +4.4 -0.5 +4.4
  Jan 16, 2012 24   @ Belmont L 53-95 8%     7 - 10 4 - 4 -26.6 -12.6 -16.6
  Jan 20, 2012 260   @ Stetson W 92-85 57%     8 - 10 5 - 4 +4.6 +11.0 -6.8
  Jan 24, 2012 342   Longwood W 101-58 96%     9 - 10 +22.5 +3.6 +15.2
  Jan 28, 2012 314   Kennesaw St. W 92-74 90%     10 - 10 6 - 4 +3.2 +4.7 -2.4
  Jan 30, 2012 115   Mercer L 66-75 46%     10 - 11 6 - 5 -8.7 +3.0 -12.8
  Feb 04, 2012 248   @ Jacksonville W 65-55 54%     11 - 11 7 - 5 +8.4 -8.5 +16.8
  Feb 06, 2012 190   @ North Florida L 62-68 40%     11 - 12 7 - 6 -4.2 -5.9 +1.2
  Feb 11, 2012 24   Belmont L 63-86 19%     11 - 13 7 - 7 -14.4 -5.5 -10.3
  Feb 13, 2012 216   Lipscomb W 89-68 71%     12 - 13 8 - 7 +14.6 +9.8 +4.0
  Feb 17, 2012 260   Stetson L 80-86 79%     12 - 14 8 - 8 -15.2 +0.4 -15.6
  Feb 23, 2012 147   @ South Carolina Upstate L 74-87 30%     12 - 15 8 - 9 -8.2 +4.8 -13.1
  Feb 25, 2012 152   @ East Tennessee St. L 71-84 30%     12 - 16 8 - 10 -8.3 +0.0 -7.9
  Mar 01, 2012 147   South Carolina Upstate W 71-61 42%     13 - 16 +11.4 -3.8 +14.8
  Mar 02, 2012 115   @ Mercer W 62-58 23%     14 - 16 +11.1 +5.8 +6.1
  Mar 03, 2012 24   Belmont L 69-83 12%     14 - 17 -2.0 -2.8 +1.1
Projected Record 14.0 - 17.0 8.0 - 10.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 100.0% 100.0
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%